Trail update 18th October 2024

Since Friday 11th temperatures have felt pleasantly autumnal at all elevations, albeit slightly above seasonal for mid October. Temperatures briefly fall to well below average on 17th-19th, before quickly rising once again. Windchill temperatures in the high country have generally been around freezing, but below freezing on 18th-19th, e.g., 31.3°F (0°C) at San Jacinto Peak on Friday 11th, and 22.5°F (-5°C) on Friday 18th. Forecasts tentatively suggested the possibility of very light precipitation on Friday 18th, but ultimately there was no measurable drizzle. Between 22nd-25th October temperatures are forecast to rise again to well above seasonal.

With a failed monsoon season in most of Southern California, fire risk remains severe everywhere. A comprehensive fire ban is in place on Forest Service lands throughout the San Jacinto Ranger District (link to USFS order here) and in all Idyllwild campgrounds. Campfires are of course always prohibited throughout both the State Park and National Forest wilderness areas.

Survey hikes by the Trail Report every day year-round in the San Jacinto mountains include varied and often circuitous routes to San Jacinto Peak typically 3-5 times per week, plus a wide variety of other trails on intervening days.

Major springs, creeks, and pipes largely continue to flow at this time (example photos below). Flow rates continue to drop steadily at all elevations and ephemeral water sources have been dry for many weeks or months. The Round Valley faucet continued to flow well as of 9th October. In the Tahquitz area meadows, the minor creek in Skunk Cabbage Meadow continues to just trickle, but the ephemeral creek in Tahquitz Valley is dry. Tahquitz Creek is flowing gently at the northern end of Little Tahquitz Meadow, and near its source where it crosses the PCT at Mile 177. Two tiny springs at Strawberry Cienega just about continue to trickle. Hidden Lake was c.30% full in early October (by surface area, not volume). Stone Creek is no longer flowing where it crosses Deer Springs Trail at about PCT Mile 183.6, and has dried completely downstream of that point.

The Palm Springs Aerial Tramway closed on Monday 9th September 2024 for annual maintenance, and is now scheduled to reopen on Friday 18th October.

According to the State Park Facebook page (linked here) the Skyline Trail remains closed in the section under their jurisdiction (from about 5800 ft to Grubb’s Notch), although no reason is given.

Sunrise as seen from 9150 ft near Wellman’s Cienega, 18th October 2024. Rather than rising over the Chocolate Mountains as is normal at this time of year, the sun instead rose over a thick layer of water vapor mixed with smoke, dust, and doubtless other pollutants that were densely filling the Coachella Valley below 9000 ft elevation.

WEATHER

A cooling trend starting Friday 11th October dropped temperatures to near (generally slightly above) average for mid October. The passage of a brief cold front to the north on 17th-19th is expected drop temperatures to well below average for October. The local precipitation probabilities for those days remain low, but there is a possibility light rain at mid elevations caused by a rising marine layer coming in from the west. Temperatures are forecast to rise yet again, at times to well above seasonal for late October, starting Tuesday 22nd.

At San Jacinto Peak (3295m/10,810ft) on Friday 18th October 2024 at 0805 the air temperature was 35.1°F (2°C), with a windchill temperature of 22.5°F (-5°C), 27% relative humidity, and a variable NE wind sustained at 5 mph gusting to 10.6 mph.

At the Peak on Thursday 17th October 2024 at 0835 the air temperature was 48.3°F (9°C), with a windchill temperature of 40.5°F (5°C), 10% relative humidity, and a very gentle NNE wind sustained at 2 mph gusting to 6.8 mph.

At the Peak on Wednesday 16th October 2024 at 0825 the air temperature was 46.0°F (8°C), with a windchill temperature of 39.4°F (4°C), 29% relative humidity, and a light ESE wind sustained at 4 mph gusting to 9.3 mph.

At the Peak on Friday 11th October 2024 at 0705 the air temperature was 44.0°F (7°C), with a windchill temperature of 31.3°F (0°C), 17% relative humidity, and a potent SSW wind sustained at 29 mph gusting to 36.0 mph.

TRAIL CONDITIONS

Treefall hazards remain a major problem along parts of the Pacific Crest Trail, most notably between Antsell Rock and Red Tahquitz. The disinterest of Forest Service and PCTA in maintaining this section of a world-famous trail for the past five years has been simply unconscionable. The good news is that nearly half of the 132 trees down between Miles 170.5-175.5 have finally been cleared by work in the middle two weeks of October 2024. A concentration of large downed trees make for especially slow-going around Miles 170.5-172 (east side of Antsell Rock), with the other formerly challenging area (Miles 174-175, around Red Tahquitz) now largely cleared. A further 15 smaller trees are down from Miles 168.5-170.5 (Spitler Peak Trail to Zen Center Trail).

The Trail Report has made excellent progress since August heavily trimming the Wellman Trail. Although only a short trail, it forms a significant part of a heavily traveled route to/from the high country peaks, and had become significantly overgrown (having not been trimmed since 2020, also by the Trail Report, as sadly the State Park shows little interest in maintaining this and many other trails in their jurisdiction).

On the Fuller Ridge Trail section of the PCT there are 12 trees down on the State Park section of the trail (Miles 185.5-189), which has not been maintained by that agency for many years. Several of these pose quite significant hazards for hikers. On the Forest Service section, the only treefall hazard is two massive trunks at about Mile 190.1 that has been present for about three years.

Trees down on the Strawberry Trail section of the PCT (Miles 180.8-183, Annie’s Junction to Strawberry Junction) have remained uncut by the Forest Service for 7-10 years now. About six hazards on this section are all relatively easy for hikers to negotiate.

About 12 treefall hazards on Deer Springs Trail include 8-9 in the upper trail that have been down and reported repeatedly for nearly a decade but with no action from the State Park. All but one of the treefall hazards down between Strawberry Junction and the top of Marion Mountain Trail (roughly PCT Miles 183-185) were removed by the Trail Report in late June (example photos in an earlier Report linked here).

Overall Willow Creek Trail is significantly improved and nearing its 2020 condition (the last time the original trail route was fully cleared and passable). Almost all significant treefall hazards on the Forest Service section were cut by mid August (several uncut trees remain that need to be removed to fully restore the original trail route). Whitethorn trimming was largely completed, mainly by volunteers, on the Forest Service side in August and early September. On the State Park side some localized whitethorn trimming of the worst patches was undertaken in September, and the minor treefall hazards new in 2023/24 were removed, leaving just two major long term downed trees (both have simple workarounds for hikers).

The 34 treefall hazards that came down across Spitler Peak Trail during ice storms in February 2024 were cleared by the Trail Report in June. This work brings to 120+ the total number of trees removed by the Report from this trail in the past three years. Note that currently the upper trail in particular is heavily overgrown with lush seasonal vegetation.

The Caramba Trail from near Reeds Meadow through Laws Camp and on to Caramba, and the Cedar Trail from Willow Creek Trail to Laws, are euphemistically described by the Forest Service as “not maintained”. In reality both trails have been abandoned and functionally no longer exist. They are so heavily overgrown with dense whitethorn, which obscures dozens of downed trees, that I strongly advise hikers do not attempt to follow them (regardless of how much you may trust an app). An informal use trail to Laws is much more direct, maintained, and avoids the challenging bushwhacking of the unmaintained trails (local Idyllwild hikers dubbed it the “King Trail” when I established the route in 2019). It leaves Willow Creek Trail exactly 1.0 mile from Saddle Junction, 0.46 mile from the Skunk Cabbage turning (trailhead at N 33.7796, W 116.6590). The route descends largely following established deer trails for 1.2 miles, meeting Willow Creek about 0.2 mile upstream from the site of the historic Laws Camp (the remains of which were destroyed by the 2013 Mountain Fire and subsequent flood and treefall damage). Eleven trees down on the King Trail were removed in June-July 2023. The tread of the trail received some damage from Tropical Storm Hilary last year. From Laws east to Caramba the route of the original Caramba Trail has been well-cairned by myself and others and can largely be followed with very careful route-finding. My 2023 survey counted about 110 trees down on this 2.1 miles of trail. It is especially obscure for the first 0.3 mile east of the Willow Creek crossing, becoming more obvious (but still subtle) as it descends towards Caramba. Very cautious navigation is advised throughout the area.

The Trail Report “adopted” Seven Pines Trail as a priority for maintenance work as the trail had a disproportionate number of lost hiker rescues in the past decade, and both State Park and Forest Service have shown no interest in maintaining the route for years. Since 2020 we have removed 75 downed trees and the trail is thoroughly trimmed and cleared multiple times annually. As of September 2024 the trail is largely clear of treefall hazards, with three down across the trail in its upper section, all easily passable for hikers. A further half-a-dozen downed trees close to the PCT junction would need to be removed to fully restore the original route of the trail. Although the condition of the trail is hugely improved, Seven Pines remains a genuine wilderness trail unlike the wider, bare, obvious routes of, for example, Devil’s Slide or Marion Mountain trails. Cautious navigation remains essential for those without considerable experience of hiking this trail. Be aware in particular that Seven Pines Trail becomes most obscure in the mile closest to its junction with Deer Springs Trail/PCT.

The Zen Center Trail continues its serious deterioration that started following the 2013 Mountain Fire, with a combination of vigorous regrowth and treefall hazards further obscuring the route with each passing season. The lower and upper parts of this trail are partially cairned and not too bad for those who are very familiar with the former route, but even the experienced find navigating the central section tricky. Long trousers, scrambling gloves, and an enjoyment of bush-whacking are all strongly recommended.

The well-known north spring at Wellman’s Cienega (9300 ft) flowing well for the time of year, mid morning 17th October 2024. Based on many years of past flow rate data, this spring will continue to flow gently into the winter this year.

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The Round Valley pipe continuing to flow fairly steadily, late morning 5th October 2024.
The creek in Little Round Valley (9750 ft) flowing steadily, early morning 11th October 2024. As in 2023, this creek is likely to continue to flow until winter this year, although the flow rate continues to drop slowly.
The North Fork of the San Jacinto River where it crosses upper Deer Springs Trail not far below its source (“Bed Springs”), early morning 11th October 2024. One of the few truly perennial water sources on the mountain these days, water will continue flowing at this location until winter, despite its meagre flow this autumn.
Willow Creek flowing only gently where it crosses Willow Creek Trail, late morning 5th October 2024. This creek may continue to flow for the remainder of this year, depending upon when the first winter precipitation arrives.

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